Trump has lead over Biden in Trafalgar Group polls in Michigan and Ohio

The two states are key battlegrounds during the 2020 presidential election contest
By Alex Nitzberg
Last Updated: November 2, 2020 - 5:19 pm

President Trump holds a lead over Democratic rival Joe Biden in the states of Ohio and Michigan according to polls by The Trafalgar Group.

In a poll of likely voters conducted Oct. 30-31, Trump had 48.3% support in Michigan compared to Biden's 45.8%—the poll notes that those numbers include those who were leaning toward one or the other. The poll had a 2.97% margin of error.

Biden currently leads Trump by 5.1 points in Michigan according to the RealClearPolitics average. President Trump won the state in 2016, breaking a two-decade long Democratic winning streak that spanned from 1992-2012.

In a Trafalgar poll of likely voters conducted Oct. 30-31, Trump had 49.2% support in Ohio compared to Biden's 44.4% support. The poll had a 2.96% margin of error.

Trump, who currently holds a 1.4 point lead over Biden in Ohio according to the RealClearPolitics average, won the Buckeye state in 2016 after it had previously gone to Democrat Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.