Alan Dershowitz predicts Trump will be sentenced to prison, but the sentence will be suspended

Dershowitz says he doubts Judge Juan Merchan will merely give Trump probation, but thinks incarceration is unlikely.

Published: May 31, 2024 6:10pm

Harvard Law School Professor Emeritus Alan Dershowitz predicted Friday that former President Donald Trump will be sentenced to prison, but the sentence will be suspended. 

"A lot of people are predicting probation," Dershowitz said on the "Just the News, No Noise" TV show. "I don't predict that. I predict that he [Judge Juan Merchan] will sentence Trump to prison, but suspend the sentence. So he gets the symbolism of prison without him actually having to go to jail."

A New York jury found Trump guilty on all 34 counts of falsifying business records during his 2016 presidential bid to conceal a hush money payment to porn star Stormy Daniels to keep quiet an alleged sexual encounter with her for the purpose of election interference.

Trump, the 2024 presumptive GOP presidential nominee, now becomes the first U.S. president to be found guilty of felony crimes.  Dershowitz says he doubts that Merchan will give Trump just probation like some are predicting. 

"He will sentence him to say two years in prison, suspend it because he has no prior record, or something like that," he said. "But he's not going to just, I think, give him probation."

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