GOP has a 65 percent chance of winning the House in 2024: poll

The Republican Party has a 65% chance of keeping the majority in the House, according to a Decision Desk HQ prediction, marking a modest, one-percentage-point increase since their forecast earlier this week. 

DDHQ further predicted that the GOP will win 11 out of 16 tossup races.

“Six, seven months ago, it was a disaster for Republicans and Kevin McCarthy and all that turmoil,” said DDHQ Director of Data Science Scott Tranter, according to The Hill. 

“But by and large, the generic ballot for Republicans has been good, unusually good, in a presidential year, and that has really trickled down to some of these House races, which is why we see the Republicans slightly favored in 11 of the 16 toss-ups,” he added.

At the presidential level, the model gives presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump a 58% chance of reclaiming the White House.