Key analysts predicting Republicans win Senate, House, multiple governor's races

GOP prospects have been sharply up in recent weeks.

Updated: October 25, 2022 - 2:56pm

Prominent election analysts are projecting Republican routs in both the U.S. House, the Senate, and multiple gubernatorial races in next month's midterm races, a sign of increasing Republican ascendancy amid growing dissatisfaction with the Biden administration's handling of the economy.

RealClearPolitics's Senate projection has Republicans picking up three Senate seats, giving the GOP a 53-47 majority in the Senate and wresting control away from Democrats for the second half of Joe Biden's first term in office. 

The Senate is currently split 50-50 between both parties, but Vice President Kamala Harris's role as the president of the Senate gives Democrats a tiebreaking edge there. 

In numerous gubernatorial races, meanwhile, RCP projects a similar GOP net pickup of three governor's races, putting Republican governors in charge of 31 state executive branches.

Election analyst FiveThirtyEight is similarly projecting a Republican pickup of the House, which would leave Democrats only in control of the White House, stymying Democratic hopes of trifecta control of the federal government.

The projections reflect the growing indications that Republicans are set to ride a red wave during the 2022 midterms, likely as a voter-led backlash against what many see as the failures of the Biden administration to constrain high gas prices and skyrocketing inflation. 

The repeal of Roe v. Wade earlier this year led some analysts to conclude that backlash to that decision could drive up Democratic prospects in November. But experts have cited the increasingly worsening economic outlook as a powerful factor in driving voters to prefer GOP candidates.