Trump, GOP favored to win White House, majority in Congress, forecast model shows

A forecast released by Decision Desk HQ and The Hill gives Trump a 58% chance of winning back the White House

Published: May 29, 2024 8:18am

Updated: May 29, 2024 2:33pm

Former President Trump and the Republican Party are favored to win White House and the majority in the House and Senate less than 6 months until Election Day, shows a forecast model published on Wednesday.

The forecast model, released by Decision Desk HQ and The Hill, gives Trump a 58% chance of winning the back the White House. The model shows him leading slightly in most of the swing states.

The GOP currently has a 79% chance of taking back U.S. Senate control and a 64% chance of maintaining the House majority, according to the forecast model.

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