Trump leading Biden in 5 Electoral College forecasts for November general election

Trump has the largest lead in the Economist forecast

Published: June 26, 2024 8:38am

Updated: June 26, 2024 8:40am

Former President Trump is leading President Biden in 5 Electoral College forecasts for the 2024 general election.

The Economist's forecast shows him winning 303-235. 

Decision Desk's election prediction webpage shows Trump ahead 282-256.

JHK Forecasts has Trump leading Biden 287-251 in the electoral vote count. 

Larry Sabato's “crystal ball” at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics has Trump in the lead against Biden 251-241.

FiveThirtyEight predicts that Trump is ahead slightly 270-268.

The Facts Inside Our Reporter's Notebook

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