Biden maintains solid 8-point lead on Trump just 3 weeks from election

Trump's prospects look better with a strong Republican turnout.

Published: October 12, 2020 12:28pm

Updated: October 12, 2020 3:06pm

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden maintains a solid 8-point lead over President Trump among likely voters just three weeks out from Election Day, according to a new Just the News Daily Poll with Scott Rasmussen.

The Democratic contender for the White House leads Trump 51% to 43% among likely voters. The gap between Biden and Trump remains unchanged since last week.

Rasmussen noted that Trump's prospects have dimmed slightly this week in most voter turnout models. 

if the election were held on october 12, 2020
if the election were held today for whom would you vote? 2020-10-12

"The range of potential outcomes is slightly worse for the president," he said. "He now trails by 5 in the strong Republican turnout model and by 12 in the strong Democratic model. If the election were held today, this suggests a Biden victory at any level of turnout. "

"But, in the strong Republican turnout model, the president is still close enough to come back," he added. 

It's "worth noting," Rasmussen continued, "that national polls on average show a bleaker picture for the president than battleground state polls. He is clearly the underdog, but state polling shows a possible path to reelection."

The survey of 1,240 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 8-10, 2020.

Click here to see this poll question's cross-demographic tabulations

Click here to see this poll question's methodology and sample demographics

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