Biden maintains solid 8-point lead on Trump just 3 weeks from election

Trump's prospects look better with a strong Republican turnout.

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Joe Biden
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden, Oct. 12
(Chip Somodevilla/Getty)
Updated: October 12, 2020 - 3:06pm

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden maintains a solid 8-point lead over President Trump among likely voters just three weeks out from Election Day, according to a new Just the News Daily Poll with Scott Rasmussen.

The Democratic contender for the White House leads Trump 51% to 43% among likely voters. The gap between Biden and Trump remains unchanged since last week.

Rasmussen noted that Trump's prospects have dimmed slightly this week in most voter turnout models. 

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if the election were held on october 12, 2020
if the election were held today for whom would you vote? 2020-10-12
JTN

"The range of potential outcomes is slightly worse for the president," he said. "He now trails by 5 in the strong Republican turnout model and by 12 in the strong Democratic model. If the election were held today, this suggests a Biden victory at any level of turnout. "

"But, in the strong Republican turnout model, the president is still close enough to come back," he added. 

It's "worth noting," Rasmussen continued, "that national polls on average show a bleaker picture for the president than battleground state polls. He is clearly the underdog, but state polling shows a possible path to reelection."

The survey of 1,240 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 8-10, 2020.

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