Just 34% of voters think Biden would finish term if reelected: poll

Slightly more than one-third of voters say they think President Joe Biden will probably finish his second term in office if he is reelected in 2024, while most likely Biden voters say they are voting for him because of their opposition to former President Donald Trump rather than their support of Biden, according to a new poll.

While 34% of voters say they think Biden will "probably finish his second term," 44% said they think Biden is likely to "leave office before his second term ends" and 22% are not sure, according to a CBS News/YouGov poll released Sunday.

Trump is slightly ahead of Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup at 50% to 49%, the poll also showed.

When asked whether they were "voting mostly to support Joe Biden, or mostly to oppose Donald Trump," likely Biden voters appeared to be motivated more by opposition to Trump than support of the current president. While 49% of likely Biden voters say they are voting for him because they support the president, 51% of likely Biden voters say they are casting their ballots in opposition to Trump. 

Likely Trump voters appeared to be more motivated to cast their ballots out of support for the former president than they were out of opposition to Biden, the poll also showed. While 61% of likely Trump voters said they were voting mostly to support the former president, 39% said they planned on voting to oppose Biden.

The poll was conducted Sept. 12-15, 2023, with 4,002 U.S. adults and it has a 2.1% margin of error.

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