Most voters oppose Congress refusing to certify 2024 election if Trump wins: poll

A recent poll conducted by Rasmussen Reports and The National Pulse found that a majority of voters would oppose congressional Democrats if they refused to certify a 2024 presidential election victory by former President Donald Trump. 

In total, 55% of likely U.S. voters say that if Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, then they would oppose Democratic Congress members who refuse to certify his victory. Meanwhile, 35% of voters say that would support congressional Democrats who refuse to certify a Trump victory, while 10% are unsure. 

Broken down by party, 78% of Republican voters would oppose congressional Democrats refusing to certify a Trump victory, compared to 57% of Independents. However, a total of 57% of Democrats would support Democratic Congress members who refuse to certify a victory by the former president. 

Amid the Supreme Court’s decision to keep Trump on the 2024 ballot in Colorado, there has been speculation that Democratic Congress members might refuse to certify a 2024 election win by Trump over eligibility. 

The Supreme Court ruled that the "responsibility for enforcing" the 14th Amendment's "insurrection" clause "against federal officeholders and candidates rests with Congress and not the States." Thus, some congressional Democrats may argue that Trump is ineligible to hold presidential office again for allegedly inciting an insurrection at the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. 

The Rasmussen Reports poll also found that 61% of voters agree with the Supreme Court’s decision on Trump remaining on the ballot. 

By party, 43% of Democratic voters, 61% of Independents, and 80% of Republicans agree with the Supreme Court ruling. A total of 52% of Democrats disagree with it. 

The poll was conducted via phone and online on March 5-7 of 912 U.S. likely voters, with a margin of sampling error being +/- three percentage points.