Nearly 30% of U.S. voters not confident Nov election will be accurately counted with correct winner

'It’s perhaps not surprising, but chilling nonetheless, that a quarter of the nation’s voters lack confidence that the votes will be accurately counted and the correct winner of the presidential election declared' - pollster Scott Rasmussen

Updated: July 16, 2020 - 4:55pm

The Facts Inside Our Reporter’s Notebook

Nearly 30% of U.S. voters don't have confidence in November's presidential election being accurately counted and the correct winner being declared, according to a new Just the News Daily Poll with Scott Rasmussen.

"It's perhaps not surprising, but chilling nonetheless, that a quarter of the nation’s voters lack confidence that the votes will be accurately counted and the correct winner of the presidential election declared," Rasmussen said. "This year's trend fits with one seen in recent years.

According to a Washington Post report in 2016: "Americans have become much less confident that we count votes accurately. Between 2000 and 2006, during the Bush presidency, Republicans were very confident in the nationwide vote count. After the 2008 election, GOP confidence declined steadily. Democrats, meanwhile, moved in the opposite direction: lower confidence (compared to Republicans) from 2000 to 2006, then an increase during the Obama years."

Image
Just the News Poll, Are you confident votes will be accurately counted?
Just the News Daily Poll
With Scott Rasmussen

Rasmussen also noted that the concern is found in all segments of the population. However, 71% of white voters have at least some confidence in the process, while just 54% of Black voters feel the same, as do 64% of Hispanic voters.

Just the News Daily Poll respondents were asked "Thinking ahead to the presidential election, how confident are you that the votes will be accurately counted and that the correct winner will be declared?" They responded as below: 

  • 30% Very Confident
  • 38% Somewhat Confident
  • 20% Not Very Confident
  • 7%   Not At All Confident
  • 5%   Not Sure

The national survey of 1,200 registered voters was conducted July 9-11, 2020 by Rasmussen, a polling veteran. Margin of sampling error: +/- 2.8% for full sample. 

To see the full demographic cross-tabulations for this polling question, click below:

To see the methodology and sample demographics for this polling question, click below:

Just the News Spotlight