New poll shows Trump has narrow lead over Biden in possible 2024 rematch

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll shows former President Trump leading President Biden in a hypothetical 2024 presidential rematch race. 

The poll shows 48% of Americans say they would favor Trump, compared to 45% for Biden. The narrow lead is also within the poll’s margin of error, which makes the hypothetical race essentially a dead heat.

Trump has already declared his 2024 candidacy, while Biden has not. However, the 80-year-old president reportedly plans to seek reelection and officially announce his bid in the coming weeks.

The poll was conducted by telephone Jan. 1- Feb. 1 among 1,003 adults, with a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

The poll also found that early in the 2024 election cycle voters have little enthusiasm for a Trump-Biden rematch, despite the nominees in their 2020 race having drawn a record number of voters.

Fifty-eight percent of Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents said they would prefer someone other than Biden as their 2024 nominee, while 31% said they support Biden, according to the poll. The percentages are essentially unchanged since September 2022.

Forty-nine percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents said they prefer someone other than Trump, compared with 44% who favor the former president. That percent also is essentially unchanged since last September.