Trump leads 4-way race with Biden, RFK Jr., West: poll

Members of both major parties largely broke for their respective candidates, though independents were more divided.

Published: October 24, 2023 9:02pm

Former President Donald Trump leads a hypothetical four-way presidential race against President Joe Biden and independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, a recent survey has revealed.

Trump earned 38% support in a The Messenger/HarrisX survey. Biden earned 35% while Kennedy earned 13% and West took 2% support. A further 12% were undecided. In a one-on-one contest, Trump led Biden 45% to 41%. Trump leads Biden by 0.7% support in the RealClearPolitics polling average, which includes the survey.

Thus far, few polls have included Kennedy since the launch of his independent bid earlier this month. He previously sought to wrest the Democratic nomination from Biden. Speculation has abounded as to from which major candidate he will draw greater support.

A separate, three-way Harvard-Harris survey published last week saw Trump earn 39% support to Biden's 33% and Kennedy's 19%.

In The Messenger/HarrisX poll, members of both major parties largely broke for their respective candidates, though independents were more divided. Trump earned 28% support in the bloc, while 26% backed Biden, and 20% opted for Kennedy.

"As an Independent candidate, RFK Jr. pulls equal numbers of 2020 Trump and Biden voters and wins the lion's share of undecided Independents, hurting Trump more than Biden in the process and thus making the horserace closer," HarrisX CEO Drtian Nesho said.

Trump remains the runaway favorite to win the Republican nomination, earning 61% support to nearest rival Ron DeSantis's 11%. Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley and tech mogul Vivek Ramaswamy trailed with 6% and 5% support, respectively.

Conducted Oct. 16-23, the survey questioned 3,029 registered voters and has a margin of error of +/- 1.8%.

Ben Whedon is an editor and reporter for Just the News. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter. 

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