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Trump holds edge over Biden in 2024 hypothetical rematch, poll

The Emerson College poll reveals a glance at what the 2024 landscape could look like

Published: July 1, 2022 1:45pm

Updated: July 1, 2022 2:12pm

Former President Donald Trump has an edge over President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 rematch between the two, according to a new poll.

The late-June poll by Emerson College shows Trump leading Biden 45-39% in a head-to-head matchup, with 12% of the electorate saying they would vote for someone else.

While Trump's numbers have held steady since May, support for Biden has dropped from 42% since May to 39% in late June. 

While Biden says he plans to seek reelection in 2024, some Democrats have begun to question whether that is the right decision for the party, or the 78-year-old president. 

Trump has made continually hinted that he'll run in 2024, though he has not yet announced an official campaign, leaving room for other Republican leaders to contemplate their own political futures. 

The poll, however, suggests that Trump remains the early favorite to win the GOP presidential nomination.

Roughly 55% of voters surveyed said they would support a Trump 2024 ticket, while 20% say they would back Florida GOP Gov. Ron DeSantis, who is frequently floated as presidential contender.

Trailing Trump and DeSantis is former Vice President Mike Pence, who with 9% of the vote, while every other potential candidate falls below the 5% threshold. 

By way of Democrats, just 64% said Biden should be the party's 2024 nominee – though there is no obvious frontrunner, at this time, to replace him at the top of the ticket.

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