Trump beats Biden in another 2024 presidential election poll

Trump beat Harris 49% to 38% in the hypothetical election poll.

Updated: March 29, 2022 - 8:32pm

The Facts Inside Our Reporter’s Notebook

Former President Donald Trump would beat both President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in a hypothetical 2024 presidential election, a Harvard CAPS-Harris poll released Monday by The Hill reveals.

Trump beat Biden 47% to 41% in the poll that asked respondents for whom they would vote if the 2024 election were held right now.

The Federal Election Commission's official 2020 presidential results stated that Biden beat Trump by 51.3% to 46.9%.

Harris fared even worse than Biden, with Trump beating her 49% to 38%.

This week's survey shows Trump with an even greater advantage over Biden after an Emerson College poll last week showed the former president would beat Biden 45% to 42% in a hypothetical election.

Democrats may face challenges moving forward even if Trump and Biden do not run in two years.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, a Republican front-runner for the presidential election, lost to Harris by 40% to 38% in the Harvard CAPS poll.

Co-director of the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey Mark Penn warned against focusing too much on the numbers right now.

"I would not give a lot of weight to trial heats right now other than they reflect the weakness of Biden and the administration right now," he told The Hill. "That Trump beats them both by a wide margin suggests most Republican nominees once known fully by the public would beat them unless they are able to pivot out of the current nadir in their numbers."

President Joe Biden's average approval rating, which has remained underwater since the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, is at 41.3%, according to FiveThirtyEight, while his disapproval rating is at 53.2%.